Friday, March 15, 2013

Raising the Minimum Wage

I ran across an interesting set of letters in my sacred Sunday New York Times that were written by readers reviewing an article in last weeks paper that covers the issues of income inequality and raising the minimum wage.  The writer of the article,Christina D. Romer, an economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and was formerly the chairwomen of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, wrote the article explaining her skepticism of raising the minimum wage.  Like most progressives I support the majority of the President’s policies and thought initially that raising the minimum wage from the national average of $7.25 to $9.00 an hour, raising the annual income of a full time minimum wage worker by $3,500 sounded like a good idea for targeting inequality for those living under $40,000 a year.  After reading the article there was some interesting points that Romer brings up that should be thought about critically.  Romer says, “Evidence suggests that employment doesn’t fall much because higher minimum wage lowers labor turnover, which raises productivity and demand.”  Romer goes on to argue that perhaps productivity increases because a higher minimum wage attracts better workers that are part of a higher socio economic status such as middle class workers, which then take the jobs from lower income workers which defeats the idea of helping the poor.  Romer goes on to say that another reason employment will not drop off is that businesses deal with a higher minimum wage by raising prices on their products that put the burden on consumers.  The Catch 22 here is that consumers that pay low prices on goods such as the regular customers at McDonald’s, have typically lower incomes and are affected greater by price increases and the minimum wage is hurting rather helping in this scenario.  Romer advocates increasing the earned income tax credit, a subsidized payment from the government added to wages, which is more efficiently targeted to helping the poor without the other consequences of raising the minimum wage.  According to Romer this increased tax credit would increase the amount of labor leading to increased employment without minimum wage deterring employers from hiring.


In the letters, Matthew Atkin from Boulder, takes a collective view stating that Romer is somewhat careless in her write off of the small amount of money redistributed and spent by the poor when compared to the whole economy if minimum wage is increased.  Another letter written by Cleroa from California gives a more positive view of the article by stating that increasing the minimum wage would lead to more jobs being cut.  As has been a theme in this class those with capital have a different set of interests than labor.  Those with capital want more capital and those in labor want to keep their jobs that have good wages.  However as we see with Matthew and Cleroa, they have different interests even though they would likely be described as on the side of labor.  Matthew wants to see inequalities addressed and living conditions improved by raising the minimum wage whereas Cleroa wants to keep her job and she fears that a raising minimum wage would lead to job cuts.  Both have good points relating to the article with different interests. Is raising the minimum wage the best way to deal with the inequalities of our nation’s disadvantaged?  The simple answer to this complicated question is no but it’s not the worst way either according to Romer.

12 comments:

  1. I think Romer makes some great points. Having worked some part time jobs, I can say that 9.00 an hour is a significant increase for both managers who have to distribute a fixed amount of payroll as well as their employees. For example, a retail store's payroll is determined by its volume of sales among other factors. Many businesses would be significantly affected by these changes.

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  2. I found this article form Business Insider that not only supplements this post, but also draws a little upon the electoral model (kind of) that we learned in class this week http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-minimum-wage-democrats-2013-3 . The article pretty much covers how a high proportion of those who benefit from this minimum wage hike belong to the political base that helped President Obama get reelected. Could it be just a coincidence that this minimum wage floor increase affects those with a $40,000 salary or lower by 54% and that this same group for Obama instead of Romney by a margin of 25%?

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    1. Good connection to the electoral model, however I feel like this article and presentation of facts points out something incredibly obvious and tries to portray it as "not coincidental" or conspiratorial. The people that supported Romney tend to be older, richer and conservative. The people that supported Obama tend to be younger, poorer and liberal. Not new or surprising information. It seems like the author of the article is unaware of historical demographic party affiliations or is intentionally downplaying them. My skepticism does not come from support of the wage raise, I simply question the neutrality of this article.

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  3. Ian , you bring up a good point on the benefit of the wage increase to that of Obama's base but it must be noted that wage increase has been a policy point for democrats for decades and long before Romney and Obama came around.This report from Bloomburg highlights the fact that during the past four decades the disparity between wage and inflation has all but narrowed to nothing -www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-28/minimum-wage-in-u-s-fails-to-beat-inflation-chart-of-the-day.html . I feel that a minimum wage increase would benefit many business's as well as workers. As these workers tend to spend all of their income on goods to meet basic needs,a small increase would no doubt benefit some sectors of business.

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  4. I think that raising the minimum wage would probably have both pros and cons. Raising the wage would give consumers more income, which could possibly lead to higher spending and therefore demand. Higher demand could then lead to an economic growth and the creation of more jobs. This may take some time, though, and may not be effective for the economy on the whole if employers need to cut jobs. As hard as it is to find a job nowadays, it is also hard for me to promote raising the minimum wage if that will cut jobs, because I think the US would be better off with full (but lower wage) employment than having to increase welfare spending for those who don't have jobs.

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  5. If you're interested in the minimum wage debate, there is a very prominent study by two economists from the early 1990s that you'll find worth reading: http://davidcard.berkeley.edu/papers/njmin-aer.pdf

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  6. Hey thanks everyone for the input. I found the article Ian contributed to the post very interesting as well as the link Mr. Karreth contributed to the discussion.

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  7. It makes little sense to me why the Obama administration would propose a wage increase when we are still in the depths of low economic growth with relatively high unemployment. Here is an article by David Neumark that I found from another story in the NY Times. He says that there is no research to show that raising the minimum wage will reduce the proportion of families living in poverty, which is exactly what Obama has stated he wants to do. Here is the article if any of you want to browse through it. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124476823767508619.html

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  8. I think that Romer makes some very valid points about how raising the minimum wage can have unintended externalities. I also dont know that just because we are emerging from a recession should be shy away from paying workers a higher (fair) wage. Fair and higher wages does have the possibility of attracting middle class workers to traditionally lower paying jobs as Romer points out, but it also has the possibility of attracting more workers to the work force. There is always the danger with a more liberal administration that typically boosts social welfare for less people to work (myth or not this is a common perception), raising the minimum wage could make jobs more attractive to hesitant workers and spur economic growth. Perhaps the way to go would be to raise the minimum wage a bit more incrementally.

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  9. I also agree that Romer makes a good argument. With increased minimum wage comes increased prices of goods, which defeats the purpose of raising minimum wage in the first place. If one is interested in reducing poverty, perhaps it would be better to target certain areas of the country, rather than make a sweeping change to the entire nation. I also agree with Chloe, though, that raising minimum wage could enable consumers to purchase more products, but this would only last in the short term. Is it possible that raising the minimum wage could also cause a problem of inflation?

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  10. interesting (if not somewhat out there article on minimum wage) by the Christian Science Monitor. http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2013/0319/22-minimum-wage-Could-it-pass-Congress?nav=87-frontpage-entryInsideMonitor

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  11. I also found an interesting opinion article on minimum wage published recently taking the position that raising the minimum wage will do more harm than good. Some brief key points the article points out is that raising the minimum wage to $9 per hour can: 1) hurst small business owners 2) increase unemployment rate. A quote from the article "two-thirds of Americans favor Obama’s proposal to raise the minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $9.00 an hour; however their support plummets by thirty seven percent when the idea that raising the minimum wage would cause employers to lay off workers was brought into the poll" (Mears 2013).

    http://www.houstonianonline.com/viewpoints/raising-minimum-wage-generates-unemployment-higher-prices-1.2820892#.UVuc1r-jKZM

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